Oct 02

Preparing for Short-Term Election Volatility

By Steven Smith | Financial News , Investment Management , Peak Thoughts , Political News , Uncategorized , Wealth Management

What’s better for investors, Republican Presidents or Democrat Presidents? It’s a trick question. First, because in general, over the long run, it doesn’t matter. While some data correlates Democratic administrations with stronger markets since the end of World War II, there is no evidence of a cause and effect relationship. And this nifty interactive exhibit […]

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Sep 26

Book Review: The Deficit Myth, Modern Monetary Theory and the Birth of the People’s Economy, Stephanie Kelton (Public Affairs, 2020)

By Steven Smith | Money , Peak Thoughts

“Trillions of dollars of debt! This is what Republicans stand for?” Kentucky Senator Rand Paul, reacting to his own party’s proposed stimulus legislation in July. “Now is not the time to worry about shrinking the deficit.” Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, on September 15 2020. “If you elect me, your taxes are going to be raised.” […]

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Sep 10

Retire Early? Retire Late? Or Retire Right on Time? – Lessons from the Early Retirement Movement

By Steven Smith | Financial Lifestyle , Peak Thoughts , Retirement , Uncategorized

The FIRE movement captured my interest only recently. Financial Independence, Retire Early (FIRE) is an aspiration of motivated young people today to stop working and retire in their 30’s and 40’s. As a retirement advisor, seeing the obvious challenges of saving enough money and otherwise getting one’s act together at such an age, I rather […]

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Jul 17

2nd Quarter Client Note

By Steven Smith | Waypoints

The US stock market just had its best quarter in more than 20 years. (Yes, you heard that right.) Of course, that was on the heels of one of the scariest quarters in history, fueled by the Coronavirus pandemic reaching US shores in February. At its worst, on March 23, the S&P 500 was down […]

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Apr 10

1st Quarter Client Note – Covid-19 Edition

By Steven Smith | Waypoints

There are decades when nothing happens; and there are weeks when decades happen. I’m pretty sure that’s the first time I have quoted Vladimir Lenin in a client note. And probably the last. A great deal has indeed happened since my first post on the coronavirus pandemic, when the implications were just beginning to emerge. The public health implications […]

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Mar 06

The Coronavirus and Market Volatility

By Steven Smith | Uncategorized

The trickle of news out of China, beginning last December, around the novel coronavirus (now being called Covid-19) became a deluge last week, as over 100,000 cases have now been detected in 70 countries, including the US.  Colorado reported its first case yesterday. There have been around 3,000 deaths reported world-wide, including 12 as of […]

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Jan 14

4th Quarter Client Note

By Steven Smith | Waypoints

The S&P 500 (Total Return) Index gained 9.07% in 2019’s final quarter. Bringing the advance for the year to 31.49% — and for the decade, to an average annual 13.56%. (And yet, all anybody wants to talk about is how poorly their bonds are performing. The Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index eked out a […]

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Oct 14

3rd Quarter Client Note

By Steven Smith | Financial News , Waypoints

After a fitful bout of volatility during the month of August, including an 800 point one-day drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 500 (Total Return) Index turned in a respectable 1.70% gain for the quarter. That brought the year-to-date return to an extraordinary 20.55%. (For context, the most recent 12-month return, which […]

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